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The tailwinds have arrived – our 2018 outlook for emerging markets

In his new Gemologist publication, Gary Greenberg, Head of Emerging Markets at Hermes Investment Management, looks at the tailwinds driving the resurgence of emerging market stocks this year.

“Two years ago, we argued that 2016 was a year of transition for emerging markets (EMs). After five years of underperformance relative to developed markets (DMs), favourable winds were stirring: we saw early signs that the commodity cycle was bottoming out, productivity among EM companies was improving and the US dollar was likely to peak. These forces would strengthen in the coming two years, after which EMs would become a major investment theme. At the outset of 2018, it is clear that the tailwinds have arrived.”

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