Change is systematically under-appreciated by investors. Most stock analysis is linear, but in reality we live in a non-linear world. As a consequence, change can lead to dramatic geometric expansions in stock valuations, as changes persist for longer than most investors expect.
We take a bottom-up approach to investing, with stock selection the key driver to returns and the dominant source of relative portfolio risk. Our emphasis is on identifying companies or industries undergoing longer-term structural change. Even when a stock decision has a strong thematic element, the fundamental qualities of the company take precedence, and stocks only enter the portfolio on their own merit.