The stock markets are characterised by long stretches of calm punctuated by times of crisis – the most recent of which is the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. Amid the rapid global spread of Covid-19, worries about economic growth have intensified and equity markets have suffered steep pullbacks.
Against this current uncertain backdrop, Eoin Murray, Head of Investment, assesses volatility – the most obvious indicator of sentiment – as well as our complacency indicator. Watch the short clip now.
Recap: what is the complacency indicator?
What does it measure? How sensitive equity investors are to general market conditions
What does it consist of? The US equities volatility index, or the ‘VIX’. We compare volatility high points to the sum of daily volatility readings from the start of a jump to its conclusion.
How to read it The complacency indicator is low when markets are fragile and higher when they are relaxed. The longer calm prevails, investors become more complacent and susceptible to another spike.
Head of Investment, International at Federated Hermes
Eoin is Head of Investment and a member of the Executive Committee. Eoin also leads the Investment Office, which is responsible to clients for the investment teams’ consistent delivery of responsible, risk-adjusted performance and adherence to the processes which earned them their ‘kitemarks’.
Eoin joined the international business of Federated Hermes in January 2015 with almost 30 years’ investment experience. Eoin joined from GSA Capital Partners, where he was a fund manager. Before this, he was Chief Investment Officer at Old Mutual from 2004 to 2008 and also held senior positions at Callanish Capital Partners LLP and Northern Trust Global Investments. He began his career as a graduate trainee at Manufacturers Hanover Trust (now JPMorgan Chase) and subsequently performed senior portfolio manager roles at Wells Fargo Nikko Investment Advisors (now BlackRock), PanAgora Asset Management and First Quadrant. Eoin earned an MA (Hons) in Economics and Law from the University of Edinburgh and an MBA from Warwick Business School.
Eoin is a Freeman of the City of London, a Liveryman of the Worshipful Company of Blacksmiths, Master of the Guild of Investment Managers, and a Fellow of the RSA. He is a member of the Exmoor Search and Rescue team, a fully qualified Swift-water Rescue Technician, a Powerboat Rescue Operator and a Flood Water Incident Manager.
In April, EOS at Federated Hermes published a white paper – Investor Expectations for Global Plastic Challenges. This set out the scale and complexity of the problem and offered investors ways to engage with companies in three key sectors – chemicals, consumer goods and retail.