How far does the Fed’s influence extend?

Federal reserve building

Considerable airtime, ink and pixels have been devoted to when the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its easing cycle. Chair Jerome Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole has certainly put the September meeting in play. But while Fed policy definitely impacts interest rates in the 0-2-year space, the influence out the US Treasury yield curve varies […]

360°, H2 2025

A view from above of a road spanning a body of water. Forests are visible on either side of the water and a blue car is driving across the road on the right hand side.

How not to be a deer caught in the ‘headlines’

The AI toolbox

Video transcript At MDT, we’ve been a big believer in AI and machine learning for a long time, and we have long integrated machine learning into our investment process. Our decision trees can be a powerful way to produce alpha forecasts while enabling us to understand and explain the rationale behind every trade. We believe that in making forecasts […]

When risk is underpriced, quality is all the more valuable

a woman is rock climbing. She is suspended by a rope from a cliff face

High yield is all about risk and reward – and lately risk isn’t being priced appropriately.  We remain defensive in our high yield positioning for two reasons, one macro in nature while the other involves dynamics within the market itself. What they have in common is an underpricing of risk and a need to focus on […]

New name, same philosophy

Colourful boats on calm water

(Re)introducing: Global SMID Equity Engagement*

Giving due importance to mental wellbeing

lady working at desk at night, looking stressed

Global SMID Equity Engagement

GEMs Equity, Outlook H2 2025

image of crossroads in Seoul at night

Targeting tomorrow’s winners

Construction junction

a close up of a US dollar bill

Add photos of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Powell and President Donald Trump in construction hard hats to the list of his desperate attempts to influence US monetary policy. As is well known, Trump has been bullying the Fed to lower interests for some time but has upped the ante in the last few months. His case is that restrictive […]

The balancing act continues

a person is balancing on a wire that leads to a rocky outcrop

The US Treasury market has been caught in a narrow range lately, confined by data portraying a resilient economy and some signs of tariff inflation passthrough that grabs the attention of a patient Federal Reserve (Fed).  Current expectations are that the US economy continues to expand, albeit at diminished underlying rates as consumer spending growth has slowed, […]

What’s next for Asia ex-Japan?

Solitary pagoda on top of mound in lush green field

Video transcript What is your outlook for the rest of the year for Asia ex-Japan equity? Our outlook for China for the rest of the year has been slightly complicated by what has happened year to date. At the beginning of the year, we were very bullish on China and Korea, and less so on […]