360°, H2 2025
How not to be a deer caught in the ‘headlines’
The AI toolbox
Video transcript At MDT, we’ve been a big believer in AI and machine learning for a long time, and we have long integrated machine learning into our investment process. Our decision trees can be a powerful way to produce alpha forecasts while enabling us to understand and explain the rationale behind every trade. We believe that in making forecasts […]
When risk is underpriced, quality is all the more valuable
High yield is all about risk and reward – and lately risk isn’t being priced appropriately. We remain defensive in our high yield positioning for two reasons, one macro in nature while the other involves dynamics within the market itself. What they have in common is an underpricing of risk and a need to focus on […]
New name, same philosophy
(Re)introducing: Global SMID Equity Engagement*
GEMs Equity, Outlook H2 2025
Targeting tomorrow’s winners
Construction junction
Add photos of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Powell and President Donald Trump in construction hard hats to the list of his desperate attempts to influence US monetary policy. As is well known, Trump has been bullying the Fed to lower interests for some time but has upped the ante in the last few months. His case is that restrictive […]
The balancing act continues
The US Treasury market has been caught in a narrow range lately, confined by data portraying a resilient economy and some signs of tariff inflation passthrough that grabs the attention of a patient Federal Reserve (Fed). Current expectations are that the US economy continues to expand, albeit at diminished underlying rates as consumer spending growth has slowed, […]
What’s next for Asia ex-Japan?
Video transcript What is your outlook for the rest of the year for Asia ex-Japan equity? Our outlook for China for the rest of the year has been slightly complicated by what has happened year to date. At the beginning of the year, we were very bullish on China and Korea, and less so on […]
Cracking the code: Quant Investing’s Secret to Finding Alpha
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Future looks brighter for Germany
Germany’s economy has long been stagnant. With real GDP up just 0.3% since the fourth quarter of 2019 (versus a 12.0% gain in the US), it was beginning to look again like the ‘sick man of Europe,’ a label it acquired in the late 1990s. The country has been buffeted since Covid by multiple shocks: […]
