Ahead of the Curve, Q2 2021

Key points The global economy is bouncing back quickly from a sharp collapse in the first half of last year. What we are seeing now, therefore, is to some extent the mirror image of developments in 2020. Despite having increased somewhat over the last year, long-term inflation expectations are still low by historical standards. The […]
Economic outlook

Where is ‘normal’? Will we get there?…
Fiorino

Banks versus shadow banks, a heavyweight battle emerges from new financial fields
Global Emerging Markets

Country allocation review, H1 2021
Views from the credit desk

Bullish and Bearish Cases
Looking below the surface

360°, Q2 2021
Infinity and beyond banks

The never-ending battle between old money and big tech
The future of the office

An ESG issue too
Five key themes in energy credit

1. Macro recovery fuels rebound in commodity prices In April 2020, oil futures prices collapsed into negative territory amid a coronavirus-induced supply glut. However, after a year of unprecedented volatility, oil prices have recouped their losses, returning to their pre-pandemic levels, and are currently lingering at $60 per barrel. This strong recovery has been driven […]
Doomsday at the bank

A spoonful of measures helps the resolution go down