Ahead of the Curve, Q2 2021

Road next to the sea

Key points The global economy is bouncing back quickly from a sharp collapse in the first half of last year. What we are seeing now, therefore, is to some extent the mirror image of developments in 2020. Despite having increased somewhat over the last year, long-term inflation expectations are still low by historical standards. The […]

Economic outlook

Road in the mountainside along the coast

Where is ‘normal’? Will we get there?…

Fiorino

A sculpture depicting an ancient animal

Banks versus shadow banks, a heavyweight battle emerges from new financial fields

Global Emerging Markets

The overpass at nanchang city in China

Country allocation review, H1 2021

Views from the credit desk

Bulls vs bears

Bullish and Bearish Cases

Looking below the surface

Thames path in Chelsea

360°, Q2 2021

Infinity and beyond banks

A sculpture depicting an ancient animal

The never-ending battle between old money and big tech

The future of the office

Hands placed on a keyboard

An ESG issue too

Five key themes in energy credit

Oil workers at dusk

1. Macro recovery fuels rebound in commodity prices In April 2020, oil futures prices collapsed into negative territory amid a coronavirus-induced supply glut. However, after a year of unprecedented volatility, oil prices have recouped their losses, returning to their pre-pandemic levels, and are currently lingering at $60 per barrel. This strong recovery has been driven […]

Doomsday at the bank

A sculpture depicting an ancient animal

A spoonful of measures helps the resolution go down