Outlook for China: When one door opens…
Fast reading: The abandoning of China’s strict zero-Covid policy late last year and the announcement of a range of stimulus measures should drive a resurgence in outbound travel, an easing of global supply-chain pressures, and an increase in growth both domestically and more widely. Owing to its size and rapid development, China had been a major […]
The soaraway rebound of global tourism
Chart of the month
Ahead of the Curve, Q1 2023
Fast reading: In our baseline scenario, global growth will continue to slow in 2023, reflecting a continuation of the themes that dominated 2022. Inflation has moderated but is still running at elevated levels, significantly eroding real disposable incomes. More importantly, the sharp tightening of monetary policy that major central banks (the Federal Reserve notably) implemented […]
Fiorino: Many banks, multiple outcomes
Anything can happen. Or, according to one interpretation of quantum mechanics, everything that can happen, does happen. The so-called ‘many worlds’ postulate, first floated in the 1950s by then US physics PhD student, Hugh Everett III, resolves a fundamental enigma of the ‘wave function’ – the mathematical expression of how a quantum system, such as […]
ABS issuance: Why so low?
Chart of the month
Our investment teams on the key themes for 2023
2022 was a challenging year which rocked financial markets and forced investors to reconsider their positioning against a backdrop of uncertainty. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine challenged Europe’s reliance on Russian commodities and caused an energy crisis; inflation soared to a four-decade high, sparking a cost-of-living crisis. Investors are understandably cautious about what might be in […]
Beyond reopening: China’s transformation
Emerging markets have lagged developed markets this year by 6%, with China reflecting the most notable drag at -26%. However, China stocks are enjoying something of a ‘Santa rally’ amid hope Beijing will relax its strict Covid-19 measures and fully reopen its economy. The MSCI China Index jumped by 29% in November1 to deliver its best […]
Spectrum, Q4 2022
Inflation, one year on
The Federated Hermes 2023 Outlook
Read our Federated Hermes 2023 Outlook where our experts from across our investment floor give their views on how the following eight key themes will play out next year for their respective asset classes: Inflation Geopolitics Energy Tech ESG Biodiversity China Cost of Living Share:
Fiorino: Leverage will tear us apart, again
On November 8, the blood moon eclipse pushed more earthbound topics – such as war, inflation and near collapse of the UK financial system – momentarily to the sidelines as people around the world paused to marvel at the blushed red hues of our nearest celestial neighbour. Some may have gazed up and wondered how […]
