Beyond re-opening: the long-term trends to watch in China

Optimism that China’s scrapping of its strict zero-Covid controls would boost the global economy has been tempered by weaker-than-expected data in May on retail sales, industrial output, and investments. But this short-term blip needs to be viewed in the context of the vast technological and demographic shifts underway in the world’s second largest economy that […]
Investors size up far-reaching implications of AI boom

market snapshot
Financial stability concerns back to the fore

Ahead of the Curve
Will the latest rate hike be the last?

market snapshot
Why now is the right time to invest in China

Fast reading Concerns around China’s handing of the Covid pandemic and volatility in the country’s property market has weighed on the valuation of Chinese equities, which are trading at discounts not seen for more than two decades. The government’s abandonment of its strict zero-Covid policy at the turn of the year should provide a boost […]
Banking woes take centre stage

market snapshot
New data hints rate hiking is far from over

market snapshot
Outlook for China: When one door opens…

Fast reading: The abandoning of China’s strict zero-Covid policy late last year and the announcement of a range of stimulus measures should drive a resurgence in outbound travel, an easing of global supply-chain pressures, and an increase in growth both domestically and more widely. Owing to its size and rapid development, China had been a major […]
Economies recover against backdrop of growing confidence

market snapshot
Ahead of the Curve, Q1 2023

Fast reading: In our baseline scenario, global growth will continue to slow in 2023, reflecting a continuation of the themes that dominated 2022. Inflation has moderated but is still running at elevated levels, significantly eroding real disposable incomes. More importantly, the sharp tightening of monetary policy that major central banks (the Federal Reserve notably) implemented […]
