Lula’s spending plans unnerve Brazilian investors
market snapshot
Does the Fed play dice with the financial system?
God does not play dice with the universe, according to Einstein, but, if he did, the outcome would look something like the chart below – only with somewhere between a vigintillion and acentillion of different particles to rearrange instead of two, six-sided die. Chart 1: Towards entropy Source: Entropy (gsu.edu) The double-die example (as opposed […]
Our outlook for India: The view from the GEMs desk
The excitement about India has resulted in rich valuations. How are you thinking about the valuation of Indian markets and how are you positioned? On valuations, with any metric we look at, the Indian market does screen to be expensive – but we have to think about why investors pay a premium for India, and […]
Emerging market debt: the strong recovery continues
EMD report Q1 2024
Paradigm shift
market snapshot
Volatility persists amid global uncertainties
market snapshot
A sort-of Super Tuesday
market snapshot
Investors prep for June rate cuts
market snapshot
Corporate fundamentals: Opportunities and challenges within credit dispersion
Credit fundamentals continued to modestly weaken towards the end of 2023, with both leverage and interest coverage metrics trending towards long-term averages from the lows and highs respectively witnessed a year ago, as shown in Figures 1 and 2 below. Figure 1: Leverage increasing towards long-term averages Source: BofA, as at 31 December 2023. Figure […]
Where are the best opportunities at the short end of the curve?
Short Term Investments Committee
