US and Europe on divergent rate cut paths

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Markets soar on summer rate cut hopes

Bank of England at night

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Argentina: A new dawn?

Lots of Argentina pesos

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A sort-of Super Tuesday

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Markets heed data, not Fed Speak

Fed stop sign with beatiful clouds and building as a background

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has been talking himself hoarse lately. Ever since he failed to push back against the market’s overly ebullient expectations for rate cuts following the December 2023 policy meeting, he has told anyone who’d listen the Fed isn’t ready to declare victory over inflation. His press conference in January this […]

Where next for the rally?

Japan city at night

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Investors prep for June rate cuts

Line chart on the background of skyscrapers

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The bulls are in control

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Sun setting on the tightening cycle

A busy month of news pertaining to the liquidity markets ended on a high note when the US Federal Reserve maintained the target fed funds rate at 5.25-5.50% and pushed the probable first rate hike to late spring at the earliest. Degrees of confidence US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell returned to the word “confidence” […]

Corporate fundamentals: Opportunities and challenges within credit dispersion

Colorful containers neatly arranged

Credit fundamentals continued to modestly weaken towards the end of 2023, with both leverage and interest coverage metrics trending towards long-term averages from the lows and highs respectively witnessed a year ago, as shown in Figures 1 and 2 below. Figure 1: Leverage increasing towards long-term averages Source: BofA, as at 31 December 2023. Figure […]