Oil prices stop making sense

For the past few years, the expanded group of oil producers known as OPEC+ have tried collectively to stabilise crude prices by lowering production in order to dampen price volatility to the downside. But because several members of the wider cartel have different and conflicting fiscal and external financing priorities, efforts to limit output have not […]
Can Argentina reboot its crisis-ridden economy?

EMD report Q2 2025
MDT Advisers: Can machine learning deliver a diversified alpha stream?

In a recent webinar with IPE, Scott Conlon, Investment Director and Quantitative Strategist of MDT Advisers, shared his valuable insights on how sophisticated predictive modelling can be used to identify a diversified range of alpha sources, and equip our portfolios with the potential to add value regardless of the environment. He also examined the case […]
Stocks soar on US-China tariffs pause

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Sticks and stones

It was only a matter of when, not if, the White House would harass the Federal Reserve again. Chair Jerome Powell got a short respite as President Donald Trump reiterated he doesn’t intend to fire him, despite constantly demanding lower interest rates. After the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced yesterday it had held rates […]
Rates on ice amid rising risks

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Bonds do their job during the first 100 days of uncertainty

The month of April demonstrated the complexity of capital market relationships. After a solid first quarter, where US Treasuries offered some positive returns to counter struggling stocks, the volatility shock created by the 2 April ‘Liberation Day’ announcement and President Donald Trump’s later attack on Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell temporarily took things in another direction. […]
A mixed bag

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Investing in a post ‘Liberation Day’ era

Video transcript It’s been almost a month now since Liberation Day, and it’s time to try to think about what this all means. My suggestion is ignore the short term and the volatility that goes with it. It’s hard to predict. Ignore the politics because people have different views. Let’s concentrate on what we know. […]
The greenback is singing the blues

The hurly-burly in Washington has the potential to reshape the global political and economic landscape, but will it knock the US dollar from its preeminent perch? Some are viewing the plunge of the dollar index since President Donald Trump’s announcement of tariffs as a sign it will. The argument itself conflates two concepts. One is that the […]