A wary Fed

The markets can be sure of one thing about the members of the Federal Open Market Committee: they are uncertain. During his press conference after they met yesterday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell used the word liberally with respect to the outlook, the impact of trade policies, forecasting and the balance of risks. In […]

German spending bill bolsters Europe rebound

market snapshot

GenAI heralds potential revolution in productivity

Fast reading Productivity growth in advanced economies has declined to less than 1% in the aftermath of the 2008-09 financial crisis. In recent years, productivity growth in emerging economies has also been falling. Advancements in microchip technology, a rollout of cloud computing capabilities, and an increased awareness about the importance of data have the potential […]

The emergence of Gen-Z

Chartology

Tariff tensions shake Wall Street

Stock market forex diagrams, financial chart with lines and numbers, New York skyline with skyscrapers at night.

market snapshot

America’s allies shore up their defences

International investors with an eye on the news will have been aware of some seismic shifts lately. At the recent Munich Security Conference, US Vice President Vance made it clear to the European NATO nations that they will have to do more to strengthen their own defence capabilities and security. Next came the much-discussed White […]

360°, H1 2025:

Is the market pricing in a ‘Trump tantrum’ of its own?

Strapped to the mast

Close-up view of the intricate rigging and towering masts of a historic tall ship against a vibrant blue sky

Video transcript Overall, our outlook on equity markets around the world – from the US, Europe, and even emerging markets – is pretty positive on a two-year, even a three-year view. The issue is that in the near term there’s a lot of ‘sausage making’ and noise that could distract us and cause some volatility. We […]

Steering through the fog of policy uncertainty

fog covering a busy road

I just got back from the ABA Wealth Management conference in sunny San Diego. There, Strategas’ Dan Clifton and I talked about President Trump’s actions, their market impacts and how we, as professional investment managers, would translate these developments into portfolio adjustments for the post-election landscape. The opening days of the second Trump administration have, […]

A week is a long time in (geo)politics

market snapshot