The recession party: should you stay or should you go?

A sculpture depicting an ancient animal

Fiorino

At the crossroads

Market snapshot

Euro-denominated short duration – only upside from here?

Chartology

Beijing faces limited options to tackle economic woes

A fixed income perspective

Navigating China’s economic turbulence

Global Emerging Markets Equity

Fearful markets brace for further hikes

Buildings reflected in glass block

Fast reading: Turbulence in commercial real estate (CRE) has increased this year amid concerns about the impact of soaring interest rates on the sector. As real estate market ‘corrections’ are a regular feature of the property market, institutional investors may try to seek out cycle-agnostic investment strategies. Equites headed downward this week as investors braced […]

Beyond re-opening: the long-term trends to watch in China

Optimism that China’s scrapping of its strict zero-Covid controls would boost the global economy has been tempered by weaker-than-expected data in May on retail sales, industrial output, and investments. But this short-term blip needs to be viewed in the context of the vast technological and demographic shifts underway in the world’s second largest economy that […]

Outlook for China: When one door opens…

Fast reading: The abandoning of China’s strict zero-Covid policy late last year and the announcement of a range of stimulus measures should drive a resurgence in outbound travel, an easing of global supply-chain pressures, and an increase in growth both domestically and more widely. Owing to its size and rapid development, China had been a major […]

Ahead of the Curve, Q1 2023

Horseshoe band Arizona

Fast reading: In our baseline scenario, global growth will continue to slow in 2023, reflecting a continuation of the themes that dominated 2022. Inflation has moderated but is still running at elevated levels, significantly eroding real disposable incomes. More importantly, the sharp tightening of monetary policy that major central banks (the Federal Reserve notably) implemented […]

Direction of rates hangs over equities rebound

Market snapshot