Navigating China’s economic turbulence
Global Emerging Markets Equity
Fearful markets brace for further hikes
Fast reading: Turbulence in commercial real estate (CRE) has increased this year amid concerns about the impact of soaring interest rates on the sector. As real estate market ‘corrections’ are a regular feature of the property market, institutional investors may try to seek out cycle-agnostic investment strategies. Equites headed downward this week as investors braced […]
Beyond re-opening: the long-term trends to watch in China
Optimism that China’s scrapping of its strict zero-Covid controls would boost the global economy has been tempered by weaker-than-expected data in May on retail sales, industrial output, and investments. But this short-term blip needs to be viewed in the context of the vast technological and demographic shifts underway in the world’s second largest economy that […]
Outlook for China: When one door opens…
Fast reading: The abandoning of China’s strict zero-Covid policy late last year and the announcement of a range of stimulus measures should drive a resurgence in outbound travel, an easing of global supply-chain pressures, and an increase in growth both domestically and more widely. Owing to its size and rapid development, China had been a major […]
Ahead of the Curve, Q1 2023
Fast reading: In our baseline scenario, global growth will continue to slow in 2023, reflecting a continuation of the themes that dominated 2022. Inflation has moderated but is still running at elevated levels, significantly eroding real disposable incomes. More importantly, the sharp tightening of monetary policy that major central banks (the Federal Reserve notably) implemented […]
Direction of rates hangs over equities rebound
Market snapshot
Fiorino: Many banks, multiple outcomes
Anything can happen. Or, according to one interpretation of quantum mechanics, everything that can happen, does happen. The so-called ‘many worlds’ postulate, first floated in the 1950s by then US physics PhD student, Hugh Everett III, resolves a fundamental enigma of the ‘wave function’ – the mathematical expression of how a quantum system, such as […]
European stocks rally as recession fears recede
market snapshot
Fixed income rebounds on expectations inflation has peaked
market snapshot
ABS issuance: Why so low?
Chart of the month
