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The Power of Diversification

Portfolio composition in Real Estate and Private Debt

Insight
28 August 2024 |
Alternatives
Economist Harry Markowitz’s seminal 1952 essay on modern portfolio theory argues that through careful diversification, a portfolio can reduce the ‘specific risk’ associated with individual holdings, and more effectively track wider market performance. In this paper, however, we outline why Markowitz’s theory has limited practical application in private markets, and instead lay out an alternative approach to diversification that we feel is better suited to real estate and private credit.
FHL Real Estate Debt paper on portfolio composition

Fast reading

  • For real estate debt investors tracking the market is as good as impossible – because there is no benchmark. Loans are not valued (marked-to-market) either so there is no measurable volatility in investment values over time. The lack of liquidity for loans means that they are held on the books at par, unless impaired.
  • Where there is no observable market return there is no way to determine whether diversification has been achieved. The objective of diversification for private credit portfolios is therefore focused on reducing ‘specific risk’, without aiming to track an elusive market return.
  • But the principle that diversification reduces the impact of ‘specific risk’ still holds. All your eggs should not be put in the same basket. But how many baskets you choose to use depends on a trade-off between costs and benefits. The higher the ‘specific risk’ of an investment, the greater the risk that the investment’s performance may deviate from its anticipated path, but also the greater the potential benefit from diversifying a portfolio of such investments.

For further insights into European Real Estate Debt, please click here

FHL Real Estate Debt paper on portfolio composition

FHL Real Estate Debt paper on portfolio composition

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