Actively invested in emerging markets and Asia
Solutions across the spectrum

A range of long-term tailwinds support emerging markets (EMs). They include a demographic advantage over the West, manufacturing capabilities, resource advantages, digitisation and a focus on developing infrastructure.
Emerging markets: Why now?
EMs account for 82% of the world’s population but currently only 26% of global market capitalisation.
World population:
- EM
- DM
World growth:
- EM
- DM
World economy:
- EM
- DM
World cap:
- EM
- DM
- Developed markets
- Emerging markets
Source: Bloomberg as at November 2022
AN EMERGING OPPORTUNITY:
Four key attributes of emerging markets
The growth story:
- The growth differential between emerging and developed markets is likely to widen in favour of emerging countries on the back of positive demographics, limited supply side constraints, industrialisation, resource advantage, on-going reforms and infrastructure development.
The commodities story:
- Historically, EMs’ reserves of commodities mean they tend to outperform in periods of above-trend inflation. This is particularly relevant with current geopolitical pressures driving demand for energy-related commodities and green metals.
The inflation question:
- Many EM governments have addressed the challenge of inflation more effectively than their developed market peers. Many emerging countries have become more resilient against its effects, meaning more fiscal room to boost their economies.
Valuations:
- EMs continue to trade at a valuation discount considerably larger than the historical average. In emerging market debt, vulnerability to a strong dollar is being addressed by a transition from dollar-denominated to local currency debt.
Schwellenländer haben tendenziell jüngere Bevölkerungen mit einem hohen Prozentsatz von Menschen im arbeitsfähigen Alter und einem geringeren Prozentsatz von nicht erwerbstätigen älteren Personen. Dies kann in höheren Pro-Kopf-Einkommen resultieren.
Demografische Veränderungen begünstigen Schwellenländer
- Unter 15 Jahre
- Über 65 Jahre
- Afrika
- Lateinamerika, Karibik
- Welt
- Asien
- Ozeanien
- Nordamerika
- Europa
Income growth, urbanisation and demographic changes create a growing pool of middle-class consumers. This drives increased revenue for companies through premiumisation.
Ebenfalls 2030 wird die Gruppe der 15 Staaten mit dem größten BIP etwa zur Hälfte aus asiatischen Ländern bestehen
BIP-Entwicklung in den Schwellenländern
Top 15 in 2020
- 2020
- USA
- China
- Japan
- Deutschland
- Indien
- Großbritannien
- Frankreich
- Italien
- Kanada
- Südkorea
- Russland
- Brasilien
- Australien
- Spanien
- Indonesien
Top 15 im Jahr 2030 (Prognose)
- 2030
- China
- USA
- Indien
- Japan
- Deutschland
- Großbritannien
- Frankreich
- Brasilien
- Italien
- Südkorea
- Mexiko
- Russland
- Kanada
- Indonesien
- Australien
Das BIP der Schwellenländer wird 2030 voraussichtlich fast 50 % des Gesamt-BIP der 15 wirtschaftsstärksten Länder der Erde ausmachen.
Quelle: IMF, HSBC, Statista, Federated Hermes
Developing countries have fewer legacy issues than DMs when building new infrastructure. This confers an advantage when building smart cities; 5G networks, and transport networks.
Population
6bn in EM
>80% of the world
Population
>2.6bn in EM
>80% of the world
Mobile Internet User
4.2bn in EM
>70% of the world
E-Commerce Sales
>$3trn in EM
China 52% of worldwide sales
Internet Users
2.8bn in EM
>70% of the world
Payments
$5.9trn globally
$2.9trn from China
The move away from fossil fuels will be a strong economic driver. EMs are less weighed down by legacy grids and so are better placed to roll out smart grids, enabling two-way power flow and multi-stakeholder interactions.
Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländer haben beim Aufbau neuer Infrastruktur weniger Probleme mit der Anpassung an bereits bestehende Strukturen und Systeme als Industrieländer. Dies wirkt sich etwa beim Aufbau von Smart Cities, 5G-Netzen und Transportinfrastruktur positiv aus.
5G-Basisstationen in den USA und China (2019 bis 2021)
Quelle: S&P Global Market Intelligence, Stand Februar 2022
- China
- USA
- 2019
- 2020
- 2021
Many of the key resources needed for future growth and the energy transition are located in emerging markets.
Many EM companies have relatively robust fundamentals, with manageable levels of leverage and strong cash to assets. They are more used to, and therefore more resilient to, higher interest rates and cost of capital.
Manageable leverage in emerging markets
Net debt to EBITDA %
- data entry Advanced > Attributes
- EM
- USA
- Europe ex-UK
- Japan
Source : HSBC as at April 2022.
Die Attraktivität Asiens
Die Region mit den meisten Schwellenländern bietet einzigartige Chancen
Asien bietet eine Reihe von strukturellen Vorteilen, die die Region angesichts wachsender konjunktureller und struktureller Probleme und Herausforderungen möglicherweise robuster macht als die Industrieländer.
Our EM solutions
Whether you’re interested in broad exposure to emerging markets or want to focus on a particular aspect of the emerging market opportunity, our product range provides the flexibility to invest in EM with a range of preferences in mind.
GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS
Global Emerging Markets Equity
Delivering holistic long-term returns through investing in structural thematic trends
Global Emerging Markets SMID Equity
Applying the GEMs philosophy to the small- and mid-cap universe
Global Emerging Markets ex-China Equity
Applying the GEMs philosophy to EM opportunities beyond China
ASIA EX-JAPAN
Asia ex-Japan Equity
Employing a contrarian investment style to drive long-term returns
China Equity
Applying a contrarian investment style to China equities
EMERGING MARKETS DEBT
Emerging Markets Debt
Delivering alpha through our expertise in a misunderstood market
Why Federated Hermes?
Our understanding of EMs is reflected in our approach to managing risk, capturing value and engaging effectively with companies to maximise the potential long-term returns for our clients.
Managing risk
- While emerging markets offer a high degree of opportunity, we recognise that this is often accompanied by a higher level of associated risk. When making investment decisions, we carefully factor in market-specific issues such as geopolitical tensions, political stability, and regulatory structures, as well as more temporary concerns such as China’s Covid policy or the issues in its property market.
Capturing value
- Emerging market assets tend to trade at a discount, but even so not everything in EM is cheap, or even good value. We conduct thorough bottom-up fundamental analysis of potential assets before deciding whether they are of interest for our portfolios. At the same time, we determine a target price at which the asset represents a good investment.
Engaging effectively
- We engage widely across emerging markets, addressing a range of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues. We believe this level of active engagement reduces risk and improves the potential for stronger returns from the companies we invest in.