Global Emerging Markets ex-China Equity
A sub-fund of the Federated Hermes Global Emerging Markets Equities strategy investing across emerging markets except for China.
Reasons to invest
Truly active management
Multi-cap
From top to bottom
Responsible owner
Quality and safety
Risk mitigation
Emerging markets ex-China offers exposure to consumption, resource and technology themes
More than half of the world’s population lives in emerging markets ex-China representing about one fifth of global GDP. Beyond China, most emerging markets benefit from positive demographics, an expanding middle class, developing digital sectors and significant opportunities in infrastructure.
In addition to the secular drivers of consumption and technology, emerging economies ex-China control huge reserves of key commodities, such as green metals, that are vital for the transition to net zero. While macro challenges remain in a few areas, overall vulnerabilities are limited, and ongoing reforms are likely to strengthen the case for emerging markets ex-China in years to come.
GEMs ex-China aims to mitigate any geopolitical and ESG risks related to China while benefiting from the vast growth potential across emerging markets.
Why GEMs ex-China Equity?
Gli investitori dei mercati emergenti locali hanno generalmente una prospettiva da sei a 12 mesi, pertanto sono più sensibili alle notizie, agli utili trimestrali e ai catalizzatori a breve termine. Di conseguenza, le società possono presentare anomalie di prezzo a causa di problemi transitori. Ciò può creare opportunità per gli investitori in grado di concentrarsi sul lungo termine. Siamo orientati al lungo termine e siamo in linea con la gestione aziendale.
Miriamo a sfruttare la debolezza a breve termine delle società di alta qualità o le anomalie di prezzo delle società medie. Sebbene oggi il portafoglio sia posizionato in titoli di qualità con una propensione alla crescita, non siamo vincolati a investire né in titoli growth né in titoli value, il che significa che abbiamo la flessibilità di investire laddove riteniamo che le opportunità siano migliori.
How we invest
Our blended strategy seeks to take advantage of short-term weakness in high-quality companies and mispricing in average companies. We search for stocks trading at a significant discount to our assessment of their intrinsic value. The portfolio manager will also maintain a margin of safety both in terms of quality and price.
ESG analysis and engagement are integrated into our bottom-up approach through the inclusion of ESG considerations in our research process. We also employ best-in-class engagement at the company and country level for a comprehensive view of both risks and opportunities.
Investment philosophy
We believe:
- Structural changes in the world economy are transforming emerging markets.
- The winners that emerge from this transformation will be efficient and sustainable businesses.
- This is a long-term trend requiring a long-term approach.
- Quality companies trading at attractive valuations, in countries with conditions supportive of growth, provide the best investment opportunities.
- Investing in lower-quality, significantly mispriced companies can be a catalyst for the realisation of value.
- The best way to add value for investors is through a process that integrates top-down analysis with bottom-up fundamental stock selection, augmented by ESG analysis and engagement.
Investment process
Le idee provengono da diverse fonti, tra cui incontri con il management delle società, la nostra rete globale di contatti, ricerche di broker, analisi di settore e screening quantitativi.
Il modello quantitativo proprietario classifica le società in base a fattori di valutazione, qualità e momentum. Questo screening assegna punteggi favorevoli alle società di qualità con una base di azionisti stabile e un team dirigenziale solido. Identifichiamo circa 200 società per una watchlist.
Diamo un peso particolare ai seguenti criteri di investimento:
Quality | Valore con catalizzatori | Margine di sicurezza |
---|---|---|
Driver strutturali | Evitare sezioni insostenibili | Modelli di business collaudati |
Canali/franchising difendibili | Driver strutturali | Bilanci solidi |
ROE elevato | Canali/franchising difendibili | Buona governance |
Coerenza e miglioramenti dei ricavi e degli utili | Sconto elevato rispetto al valore intrinseco | P/B giustificato da un ROE forte o in miglioramento |
Miglioramento di ricavi, margini e generazione di flussi di cassa | Rapporti PEG bassi | |
Regolamentazione stabile/in miglioramento | Un ciclo in miglioramento o, almeno, ciclo a un punto di minimo |
We seek to establish a company’s financial health and long-term prospects. We model financial forecasts (one- and five-year earnings), cash flow and balance sheet. We combine this with the analysis of operational, financial and ESG risk factors to estimate the intrinsic value of the company.
We believe concentrated portfolios are best equipped to maximise risk-adjusted returns. Typically, we hold 40-60 companies in a portfolio, with the top 20 holdings accounting for more than 60% of the portfolio.
Team
Chris Clube
Co-Portfolio Manager, Federated Hermes Global Emerging Markets Equity Fund and Senior Analyst, Federated Hermes Limited
Vivek Bhutoria, CFA
Co-Portfolio Manager – Federated Hermes Global Emerging Markets Equity Fund and Senior Analyst, Asia ex-Japan, Federated Hermes Limited
Kunjal Gala
Head of Global Emerging Markets, Lead Portfolio Manager, Federated Hermes Limited
Product information
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